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Tech Stocks, U.S Elections: These Two Sentiments May Influence Your Bitcoin Investment

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Dear of uncertainty
Source: Getty Images

The stock market is one of the most significant factors behind the concern of what stimulates the rise and fall of Bitcoin’s price, as the digital asset is very sensitive to the stock market. 

Although Bitcoin is still quite speculative at this point in its history, the crypto pioneer asset has seen varied opinions suggesting correlations to traditional markets such as stocks. As such, it is expected that a relatively positive economic period would bring about a positive reaction from Bitcoin, and vice versa.

Again, as the U.S presidential election looms, analysts have predicted a bearish prospect for the U.S Dollar. Bitcoin, on the other hand, stands to gain from the election, with the growing level of political uncertainty. 

How Will The U.S Election Affect Bitcoin Price Action?

The United States holds a dominant position on a global scale, and has the ability to exert influence on a very elevated level. Essentially, whoever governs it has an enormous influence on the fate of the world. Thus, uncertainty about who will emerge the winner of the presidential election can have a great impact on the price of Bitcoin. 

In terms of crypto markets, it’s difficult to accurately assert anything about the possible effect of the election. However, based on history, the previous elections in the USA influenced Bitcoin’s price, as the markets reacted very positively in the immediate aftermath of Trump’s victory. Though the traditional markets were all dropping, Bitcoin reacted contrarily. This came as a consequence of the uncertainty on the outcome of the election, and ultimately, the economy. 

Doubt, uncertainty, and fear are some of the main challenges faced by crypto investors. Considering the increasing level of political uncertainty, investors are more likely to load up into safe-haven assets, especially those not bound to any particular country. The conclusion is obvious: people are likely to invest in Bitcoin when confronted with unstable markets or other obstacles facing national currencies. 

The coming election would see the weakness of the U.S Dollars while further stimulating the bitcoin price action for the rest of 2020. However, the outcome of the election would determine further price action. If Trump wins, we are likely to see further dollar printing.

Bitcoin Price Action Relative To Stock Market Sentiment

To some extent, Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market as a whole, exist fairly independently from the traditional stock market. However, it is speculated that Bitcoin does have a correlation with the traditional stock market because they are both private assets. Therefore, stock market sentiment, circumstances, and price movements may still have an effect on the price action of Bitcoin. 

On March 12, the Dow experienced a severe market loss. TradingView.com price charts recorded a 7% fall from 22,840 to $21,150. Around the same time, BTC suffered a similar damage, falling from $8,000 down to $3,870. 

READ ALSO: The State Of Cryptocurrency Regulation In African Countries

Also, In recent months, there has been a high correlation between the S&P 500, and Bitcoin. At the beginning of the month, the price of Bitcoin fell from the $12k levels to retest $10k, following a considerable loss experienced in the stock market. This mirrored drop indicates that weaknesses in stocks can have an impact on the sentiments that surround other risk-on assets such as cryptocurrencies. Therefore, if stocks continue to experience a drop below key levels, the price of Bitcoin, in accordance, could equally see a downtrend based on previous reactions to the drops in stock markets. 

With the possible correlation between Bitcoin and the stock market, it is expected that a relatively positive economic period will bring about a positive reaction from Bitcoin and vice versa. However, while at times, Bitcoin moves in sync with the stock market, during other periods, Bitcoin reacts contrarily. Following the red day experienced on the 12th of March, the Dow suffered another severe carnage on the 16th of March while Bitcoin reacted in the opposite. The crypto asset traded in the opposite direction and experienced a price increase, rising from $4,450 to about $6,648.

The correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 has only risen to a lifetime high of 41% on a yearly timeframe. Although, readings such as this may imply a relatively weak correlation. 

Bitcoin-S&P500 Realised Correlation
Source: Skew.com

Despite that recent data suggests a stronger correlation than ever, this one-year timeframe chart indeed shows that Bitcoin’s correlation with the S&P 500 is rather inconsistent as we continue to see an up and down movement. But it is observed that there’s usually a correlation when the volatility of the stock market is huge.

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Crypto Assets

Crypto prices drop as global market fear increases

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Top cryptocurrency prices have fallen amidst a drop in stocks and fears over China’s Evergrande debt crisis. In the last 24hour, Bitcoin dropped from $47,772 to $42,630 shedding about 8.58%. this is the lowest in price since another bull run began on Sept 5 after the April crash.

El- Salvador’s President, Nayib Bukele sees the fall as an opportunity to invest more. Recall that the country adopted Bitcoin as a legal tender on September 7. Despite the adoption, the price of Bitcoin has fallen by almost 14% since then.

Other coins have experienced dramatic crashes within the last 24hours. Solana, a coin that has experienced 355% growth within the last 3 months fell from $162 to $130 shedding about 11.39% within the last 24hours. Solana’s fall may be categorized by the 17-hour outage which the founder, Anatoly Yakovenko said was caused by bots “flooding the networks”

Ethereum fell by 9.37% while Dogecoin and Axie Infinity fell by 11.22% and 14.14% respectively within the last 24hrs hours. While crypto experiences dark Monday, El-Salvador keeps investing more money in Bitcoin.

A look at the global market

The global market is experiencing fear due to the Evergrande debt crisis. A report published by the University of Michigan shows that consumer’s sentiment is beginning to decline. This trend alone may impact the crypto market as well.

On the other hand, the global market downturn must have been spurred by the Evergrande debt crisis. The company grew to be one of China’s biggest companies by borrowing more than $300bn. Last year, Beijing made rules to control the debt owed by big real estate developers. This led Evergrande to offer its properties at major discounts to raise more money to keep the business afloat. Right now, the company is struggling to meet the interest on payment of debts.

Why would it matter if Evergrande fails?

The collapse of the multi-million dollars company would affect the global market; including the crypto market. Many people bought properties from Evergrande and they expect to make gains. If Evergrande falls, crypto investors will be forced to withdraw more money to keep their business running without the means to invest more. When one business fails, the other gets affected indirectly. This also applies to other firms that do businesses with Evergrande.

The potential impact on China’s financial system is another effect of Evergrande’s fall. In his statement to BBC, Mattie Berkink, the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), said that “the financial fallout would be far-reaching. Evergrande reportedly owes money to around 171 domestic banks 121 other financial firms” if the company fails, other lenders or businesses may be forced to lend less. Thereby leading to a credit crunch- a situation where companies struggle to borrow money.

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Crypto Assets

6 Cryptocurrencies to leverage for Building Personal Wealth Long Term

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“Investing in Crypto should be viewed as another path towards financial independence that can help people beat inflation over time.”

—Alex Mashinsky (CEO, Celsuis)

The Crypto market is blooming. Nearly 1 in every 3 individuals in Africa, particularly Nigeria, currently trade cryptocurrencies for one purpose or the other. For more than a decade now, blockchain technology has pervaded the financial markets and persistently received traction from various quarters. Its adoption rate in Africa is a force to be reckoned with. The reports are glaring enough. This has then cultivated the growing appeal of the people in trying to employ crypto as a viable tool to build wealth, albeit long term.

Recently, thousands of cryptocurrencies were known to exist in the market and the numbers keep expanding. It is, therefore, imperative that these digital coins are closely observed to identify the favourable ones for a long-term game. We, at Decentralize Africa, know this. You don’t need to make any emotional rush. This is why we’ve put together highlights of sustainable cryptos that can help you build a fortune over time if you play your cards right.

  • Ethereum (ETH)

Coming first on the pack is Ethereum. The reason for this is not far-fetched. Earlier this year, ethereum was said to have amassed a market capitalization running into billions of dollars. As if that is not enough, Ethereum pointed out its plans to remake its consensus algorithm. This will in no small measure help the crypto network perform several seamless operations and that too with reduced energy. 

The major change that was done to Ethereum’s network, i.e, a modification to Proof-of-stake, will enable players in the system to pitch ethers in a more protected and also rewarding account. This is quite comparable to the bitcoin system. So, yes, Etherum is something that should be in the plans. 

  • Stellar (XLM)

Of course, Stellar has to find a place here, innit? For one, the cryptocurrency holds promising potential for those interested in the long shot. It is more or less a fertile space in the string of blockchain networks. Most of us are privy to how tedious, cross-border transactions tend to appear. This is where Stellar comes in. The versatile platform is capable of completing payments in a matter of seconds at a meagre fee; which is payable using the Stellar coins. Stellar’s efficiency is no doubt commendable. Although like most coins, it has had its share of a downward trend in prices, there is no doubt that Stellar is yet to reach its peak. As such, analysts have observed that there’s room for expansive growth as the year’s roll by. 

  • Bitcoin (BTC)

This sequence is deliberate though. We all know the mighty bitcoin will be here, don’t we? Bitcoin has amassed a wild price range, an ever-growing market capitalization and its prospects for investment opportunities speak loud enough. Although there is an influx of cryptocurrencies today, Bitcoin embodies a large percentage of the market value. 

Investing in bitcoin is never a bad business. It has its lows of course, but it jumps pretty back in most cases. Its wide acceptability is a testament to this fact. Several companies are integrating bitcoin in their payment structure, and business-men, banks are not left in the loop as well.

  • Solana (SOL)

Interestingly, Solana is one of the few digital coins to maintain a steady rise in value. It came up the pack in 2017 and has since improved its value system over time. It offers enticing packages, by being used to complete rapid transactions and every other thing that makes it a good catch. Solana might seem a bit obscure at the moment, but it is certainly one of the best to look out for.

  • Chainlink (LINK)

More accessibility means more acceptance, right? Chain-link is that cryptocurrency that’s relatively available to most people. It’s inexpensive and a good store of value as well. This is one of the reasons that attracts many investors to it. If you are looking to invest in a cryptocurrency in this context, this is one of the coins that can help build your financial portfolio in the long run. 

  • Cardano (ADA)

It is observed that the Cardano network holds a somewhat appealing impression for myriads of reasons. It consumes far less energy which then translates to a faster transaction rate. Also, it proves to be secure and it is one blockchain network that is quite keen on developing its systems.

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Bitcoin in Africa

ICE3X, One Of South Africa’s Oldest Crypto Exchange Cease Operations

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ICE3X

ICE3X, one of the first and oldest crypto exchanges in South Africa and across Africa which was founded in the year 2013 with roughly 80,000 clients ceased operations permanently due to low liquidity.

Earlier this year, ICE3X announced that they noticed some discrepancies in the balances pertaining to Bitcoin and Litecoin held on the platform on March 16. After several consultations and deliberations with their partner Merkeleon.com and subsidiary Coinspaid.com, no satisfactory conclusion was reached.

But on the advice of their auditing and legal team, ICE3X suspended deposits and trading of cryptocurrencies on their platform. In addition, Bitcoin (BTC) and Litecoin (LTC) withdrawals were also suspended pending the outcome of a full investigation and reconciliation.

ICE3X said that clients holding cryptocurrencies on their platform excluding Bitcoin (BTC) and Litecoin (LTC) will be able to withdraw their funds. They further said that this was done in protection of their clients.

On March 23, withdrawals from ICE3X platform by clients were totally disabled, and it was announced that withdrawals would now be done manually – clients would have to submit their withdrawals request via a Google Form.

The homepage URL of ICE3X which is ice3.com. Users will now be redirected to https://ice3x.co.za/status-update/ with no withdrawals support for Bitcoin (BTC) and Litecoin (LTC) yet, but clients were advised to place their withdrawals request for both.

On April 6, according to the website of 1CE3X, the South African Crypto Exchange will not be returning back to operations and advised to start their liquidation proceedings. Also, there are no longer withdrawal requests pending for any currencies except Bitcoin (BTC) and Litecoin (LTC).

At the point of writing this article, the latest update from ICE3X, shows that all withdrawal requests submitted up to April 6 have been rectified and all the remaining assets either cryptocurrencies or fiat are held in trust by Manong Badenhorst & Badenhorst Attorneys. Also, liquidation proceedings have been initiated and clients are advised to download the requisition form, which should be sent as a mail to avj@natliq.co.za.

Recently, Binance announced that ZAR trading pairs was delisted from their platform, according to the official Twitter handle of Binance Africa on March 31. It was recommended that users either trade out of their ZAR positions or withdraw all their ZAR balances before April 2, 10:00 AM (UTC). The affected trading pairs are USDT/ZAR, BTC/ZAR, ETH/ZAR, BUSD/ZAR, BNB/ZAR.

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